NBA · Kalshi · Vegas lines · live scores
Follow the money nobody else sees.
LiveBetSignals reads prediction-market order flow and the Vegas board every 15 seconds. When a favorite collapses, you get the score, the price, and how often teams in that exact spot have come back.
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Kalshi prices are the ask for a YES contract. Book fair is the vig-free win chance implied by the Vegas spread. Edges are shown after Kalshi's trading fee.
Four signals, one feed
What the board flags
Smart money moves
A price that jumps on heavy volume. Informed money tends to land before the news reaches the public.
Cheaper than Vegas
A Kalshi price below the vig-free sportsbook line, counted after Kalshi's fee.
A favorite off script
How far a favorite has fallen below its pregame expected margin. A 2.5-point favorite down 25 is 27.5 points off script.
The run has started
Points won back from the worst moment, tracked live, with the team's own comeback history next to the price.
Comeback DNA
Every team graded on how it plays from behind
Built from every play of all 1,231 games last season. When a favorite falls behind, you see whether this team comes back, whether its opponent protects leads, and what history says about this deficit at this point in the game.
Comeback index · 100 = league averageWon when down 10+
League, 2025-26: teams down 10+ won 23.7%, down 15+ won 11.5%, down 20+ won 3.3%.
How often the trailing team wonby deficit and time left
Outlined: Philadelphia's spot at its Oct 22 comeback alert, down 21 with 24 minutes left.
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Live win probability from ESPN, Kalshi and our model on every NBA, NFL, NHL and MLB game, with divergence and comeback calls the moment they happen.
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